The Systematic Trader

Why I show the ugly years

LessonFree · Educational

There is a year in my public record that most people in my position would pay to delete: 2018, −78%. It sits there, permanent and clickable, fifteen scroll-lengths down my profile. This lesson is about why I consider it the most valuable thing I own.

What “public” actually means

Since 2011, my eToro record has accumulated in public: good years, mediocre years, and one catastrophic year I would never choose for a marketing brochure. It has run through crashes, speculative booms, a pandemic, and one personal disaster of my own making. That last part matters most: a longitudinal record only means something because it includes the chapter I’d rather hide. Evidence you can curate after the fact isn’t evidence.

The economics of honesty

Let me be direct about incentives, because pretending they don’t exist is its own kind of hype. I benefit when people copy me — under eToro’s program for investors like me, qualifying participants can receive payments linked to the assets copying them. You should evaluate everything I publish knowing that incentive exists. My answer to that conflict is to stake my credibility on a form of evidence that is much harder to curate after the fact: a record where the worst chapter is as visible as the best.

But let me hold that claim to the same standard I’ve taught you. The loss itself proves nothing — anyone can lose 78%. What matters is whether the record shows a diagnosis, a change in process, and years of subsequent behaviour consistent with that change. That is the actual claim I’m making, and it’s checkable.

What the ugly year bought

2018 was oversized leverage meeting a bad market, and behaviour making it worse — the exact red-flag anatomy from earlier in this series. I can teach that anatomy because I performed it. Every rule I now publish — 1% risk, exits decided before entry, cash as a position, no averaging down — is a fence built at the precise spot where I once fell. When newer traders read my rules, they’re reading the autopsy of that year. Rules copied from a book are theory; rules carved from a −78% are policy.

The standard I’m asking you to hold

Everything this series taught — read the worst year first, judge the shape of drawdowns, distrust ease, open the portfolio behind the score, supply your own patience — apply it to me, hardest of all. My record is not clean. It is complete, and I’m asking to be judged on the complete thing: what I was, what it cost, and whether the years since are consistent with what I claim to have learned.

That’s the whole manifesto, really. In an industry that sells certainty, the most radical thing you can show people is the receipt for your mistakes. Mine are public. They will stay public. Decide accordingly.

Educational only — my own process and opinions, not investment advice. Copy trading involves risk of capital loss. Past performance is not an indication of future results.

The live portfolio and full track record are public on eToro — review the risks before any decision.. Copy trading involves risk of capital loss. Not investment advice.

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